Leftwing surge thwarts far right in French election

Unlock the Editor’s Digest for free

Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.

France is heading towards a hung parliament and rocky talks to form a government after an unexpected leftwing victory thwarted Marine Le Pen’s efforts to bring the far right to power.

The leftist Nouveau Front Populaire bloc won the most seats in the high-stakes snap election, dealing a severe blow to Le Pen’s Rassemblement National party, which had seen a parliamentary majority within reach.

The outcome represents a resounding success for the co-ordinated anti-RN strategy, under which the leftwing and centrist parties tactically withdrew their candidates from run-off ballots.

But the result will leave the Eurozone’s second-largest economy in limbo over its next government, with no single bloc near an outright majority in the 577-seat National Assembly. 

With all constituency results in, the NFP had secured 180 seats, followed by President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Ensemble alliance on 159, according to the Financial Times’ parliamentary election tracker. Ensemble had roughly 250 seats in the outgoing National Assembly.

Meanwhile, Le Pen’s party was pushed into third place by the tactic known as the front republicain, obtaining 143 seats. However, this was a significant increase on the 88 MPs it had in the previous assembly.

Gasps of horror were heard and tears flowed at the main RN election gathering as the first results estimates by pollsters came in on Sunday.

Le Pen though said that her party’s victory had only been “delayed” and that the far-right “tide is rising”.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the anti-capitalist firebrand and leader of the far-left La France Insoumise (LFI) within NFP, struck a combative tone, calling on Macron to appoint a leftwing prime minister.

“The president has the power, the duty, to call on the Nouveau Front Populaire to govern,” he said, pledging to apply the high-tax, high-spending NFP programme that has spooked investors.

“The will of the people must be strictly respected . . . The defeat of the president and his coalition is confirmed,” Mélenchon said.

Hastily formed after Macron’s called the snap election last month, the NFP also includes the centrist Parti Socialiste (PS), the Communists and Greens.

The projected results were met with elation at a PS election event in Belleville, Paris, with chants of “front populaire” and a round of La Marseillaise.

“It’s brilliant! Of course it’s brilliant,” Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol, the PS mayor of Rouen and a leading figure in the party, told the FT.

The NFP’s economic programme would be a big break with Macron’s business-friendly agenda and tax-cutting zeal.

The euro fell 0.3 per cent against the dollar after projections suggested the left had won the most seats in parliament.

France looks headed to a period of political uncertainty that will have repercussions both for France and the EU, given Paris’ outsized role in influencing the bloc’s policy, together with Germany.

In the French system, the president chooses the prime minister, who typically comes from the party with the biggest delegation in the National Assembly even if it does not have an outright majority. 

France’s prime minister Gabriel Attal, who took office in January and led the Ensemble campaign, said he would step down on Monday but continue as caretaker as long as needed.

Despite Mélenchon positioning himself to become prime minister, other factions in the NFP have strongly opposed the idea and are gunning for the post as well.

Macron and his allies have ruled out forming a government with either LFI or RN.

Ensemble officials will instead reach out to moderates within the NFP, such as the Socialists and Greens, and to the conservative Les Republicains, to gauge interest in working together, an Elysée official said.

However, forging this kind of deal might prove difficult given the parties’ differences.

A last resort would be to name a technocratic government led by an experienced but non-partisan figure, although this is not at all in the French political tradition. 

While the results are far better than expected for Macron, his authority will still emerge weakened from the election.

Macron in June took a gamble in calling for the snap vote after his centrist Ensemble alliance was trounced by Le Pen’s RN in European parliamentary elections.

The president defended the move, which stunned and angered many even in his own camp, as a necessary moment of “clarification”.

Bernard Sananes, head of the pollster Elabe, said the results represented a “victory” of the centrist and leftist parties forming a “front republicain”, saying turnout increased in important races against the far right.