There is just one hour to go until the Jury Show of the Grand Final of Eurovision 2024.
So, who is currently most likely to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2024?
The Jury Show
After not being able to vote in the semi-finals, the national juries in all 37 competing countries will be able to vote during the jury show tonight. Their results will be revealed by spokespersons during the Grand Final and will account for 50% of the overall result. The other 50% will come from public voting during the live show.
The jurors will be ranking the songs based on the following criteria:
- composition and originality of the song
- quality of the performance on stage
- vocal capacity of the performer(s)
- overall impression of the act
Final Odds
The odds strongly predict that Croatia will get its first Eurovision victory as an independent nation, with a 43% chance of victory. Rounding out the top five are Switzerland, Ukraine, Ireland and Italy.
The odds of victory as of May 10 are:
- Croatia: Baby Lasagna – “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” – 43%
- Israel: Eden Golan – “Hurricane” – 21%
- Switzerland: Nemo – “The Code” – 11%
- France: Slimane – “Mon amour” – 6%
- Ukraine: Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil – “Teresa & Maria” – 4%
- Ireland: Bambie Thug – “Doomsday Blue” – 4%
- Italy: Angelina Mango – “La noia” – 3%
- Netherlands: Joost Klein – “Europapa” – 2%
- Greece: Marina Satti – “Zari” – 1%
- Finland: Windows95man – “No Rules!” – 1%
- United Kingdom: Olly Alexander – “Dizzy” – 1%
- Sweden: Marcus & Martinus – “Unforgettable” – 1%
- Norway: Gåte – “Ulveham” – 1%
- Armenia: Ladaniva – “Jako” – <1%
- Austria: Kaleen – “We Will Rave” – <1%
- Lithuania: Silvester Belt – “Luktelk” – <1%
- Georgia: Nutsa Buzaladze – “Fire Fighter” – <1%
- Spain: Nebulossa – “Zorra” – <1%
- Cyprus: Silia Kapsis – “Liar” – <1%
- Germany: Isaak – “Always on the Run” – <1%
- Estonia: 5miinust and Puuluup – “(Nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi” – <1%
- Slovenia: Raiven – “Veronika” – <1%
- Portugal: Iolanda – “Grito” – <1%
- Luxembourg: Tali – “Fighter” – <1%
- Latvia: Dons – “Hollow” – <1%
- Serbia: Teya Dora – “Ramonda” – <1%
Image Source: EBU/ Alma Bengtsson
Sophie Anderson, a UK-based writer, is your guide to the latest trends, viral sensations, and internet phenomena. With a finger on the pulse of digital culture, she explores what’s trending across social media and pop culture, keeping readers in the know about the latest online sensations.
